Author: Gregory C. Chow, Kui-Wai Li.

This article attempts to account for China’s economic growth in terms of labor, capital, and total factor productivity by estimating a Cobb-Douglas production function using official Chinese data. It is an extension of Gregory C. Chow’s earlier work in 1993 and has two purposes: to find out whether the parameters of the production function have changed and to use the production function to forecast GDP growth up to 2010.